Sample report · simulated data

Parcel 7 deer density survey

This is the format every census report follows. The numbers here are simulated for illustration; your report covers your land, your flight, and your conditions.

Illustration
23deer observed · 142 ac

1 · Summary

About five times the forest-health benchmark

We observed 23 deer on 142 acres, a density of 104 per square mile. Adjusted for deer the camera likely missed, the herd is 110 to 125 per square mile.

23Deer observed and visually confirmed
104/mi²Observed density (23 ÷ 0.222 mi²)
110–125Detection-adjusted range, deer per mi²
5 / 14 / 4Antlered / antlerless / unknown

2 · Where the deer were

Detection map

Parcel 7 · 8 transects · 330 ft AGLSample data
Bedding · hemlock draw (5)Feeding · old field (6)Woods edge (5)Creek bottom (4)Hedgerow (3)PARCEL 7 · 142 AC330 ftNDeer detectionTransect

Reading the map

Each dot is one confirmed deer. Lines are the flight transects, spaced so the thermal camera's view overlaps between passes. Eleven of 23 deer were within 500 ft of the old field.

Survey date
Jan 14 (sample)
Flight window
05:10–06:40
Sunrise
07:21
Air temperature
21 °F
Wind
3 mph NW
Sky · ground
Clear · frozen, no snow
Canopy
Leaf-off; ~20% conifer

3 · Classification

Groups, counts, and confidence

AreaDeerAntleredAntlerlessUnknownDetection confidence
Hemlock draw (bedding)51310.74–0.96
Old field (feeding)61410.93–0.98
East woods edge52300.88–0.97
Creek bottom41210.81–0.95
South hedgerow30210.86–0.94
Total235144—

Antlered deer are counted only when antlers are visible on the zoom camera. By late winter many bucks have shed, so some are counted as antlerless or unknown.

4 · Flight log

Every transect, timed

TransectStartEndAltitudeNew detections
T105:1005:19330 ft2
T205:2005:30330 ft4
T305:3105:41330 ft5
T405:4405:54330 ft3
T505:5506:05330 ft4
T606:0606:16330 ft2
T706:1906:29330 ft2
T806:3006:40330 ft1

5 · Detection adjustment

Why the range is higher than the count

Thermal surveys miss some deer. Published field studies put detection at roughly 56% to 92%, depending mostly on cover and temperature. For this parcel's leaf-off hardwood with about 20% conifer cover, cold ground, and a repeat-pass check on two transects, we used a detection rate of 83% to 94%.

23 observed ÷ 0.94 = 24.5 deer, or 110 per mi². 23 ÷ 0.83 = 27.7 deer, or 125 per mi².

A repeat flight within 14 days narrows this range.

6 · What the camera couldn't see

Known limits on this flight

  • Hemlock draw, about 6 acres. Dense conifer blocked part of the view. Three detections there are marked “verify.”
  • Neighboring parcel. Four deer seen across the east boundary were not counted.
  • Movement. One group moved between T3 and T4; matched by GPS and counted once.

7 · Trend (returning clients)

Three winters on the same transects

After a second year, every report includes the trend. Here the herd is falling, but it is still well above the goal.

Bars show observed density per mi²; whiskers show the detection-adjusted range. Simulated data.

0255075100125150175Goal 20131Winter 1118Winter 2104Winter 3

8 · Recommendations

What we'd tell this landowner

  1. Focus near the old field

    Nearly half the herd was within 500 ft of it. That is where management effort will reach the most deer.

  2. Protect regeneration

    Add fenced exclosures in the east woods to measure browse damage against an unbrowsed plot.

  3. Tighten the range

    A repeat flight within 14 days would narrow 110–125 to a tighter band before the board vote.

  4. Count again next winter

    Same transects, same window, so next year's change is real.

Reserve a winter count window.

Counts fly Dec 1 – Mar 15, on cold, clear nights. Windows fill in order of request, and townships often need the numbers before spring board meetings.